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Inflation and Monetary Policy in Nigeria

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– Inflation and Monetary Policy in Nigeria –

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Abstract

This study examined the effectiveness of monetary policy in curbing inflation in Nigeria for the period of 34 years (1981-2015) with a time series data. The study econometric model was estimated using Ordinary Least Square (OLS).

In the model, inflation was regressed against Exchange Rate, Money Supply, Real Gross Domestic Product and one period lag of inflation.

The study found out that there exist a negative significant relationship between Real Gross Domestic Product and inflation rate in Nigeria under the period of study.

Furthermore, there exist a positive significant relationship Between Money Supply and inflation rate in Nigeria under the period of study. Exchange rate exerted a positive significant relationship with inflation rate in Nigeria under the period of study.

The study recommended that if policymakers want to achieve sustainable economic growth in Nigeria they should focus on the growth of money supply since from our study it was found to have significantly contributed to economic growth.

Introduction

1.1 Background of the Study

Nigeria monetary policy is enhanced to target the reduction in the rate of inflation with the framework of maintaining price stability as a single most important objective of monetary policy.

Monetary policy is directed towards the reducing inflation presupposes the existence of a stable and predictable relationship between monetary aggregates and other economic variable in the economy (CBN, 2015).

For most economies, the objectives of monetary policy include price stability, maintenance of balance of payments equilibrium, and promotion of employment, output growth, and sustainable development.

These objectives are necessary for the attainment of internal and external balance, and the promotion of long run economic growth. The importance of price stability derives from the harmful effect of price volatility which undermines the objectives.

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